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![]() ![]() ANOVA table for Gap 1.a on the attribute PERDEM - typical supplier |
This variable began to be collected in 1997. In 1997 retailers were willing
to put up, in average, with 5.5% more of product non availability when
order was taken by manufacturers than the actual percent of non availability
informed by the typical supplier (a negative gap). By 1999 this measure
dropped to 1.6%. In 2001, however, the average gap was back to levels
observed in 1997.
In accordance, no evidence of linearity was found for this variable related to product availability. The negative gap indicates that service is, in average, better than customer expectations, that is, it has been overspecified. In 1999 expectations and practice seem to have been better adjusted, reducing the absolute value of the gap. This has, however, increased again in 2000 and 2001.
Figure 2
Gap 1.b (expectation - perception of performance of the best supplier in the
attribute PERDEM)
![]() ![]() ANOVA table for Gap 1.b on the attribute PERDEM - best supplier |
In the case of best practices, it may be seen that the average gap remained
negative throughout the period. This means that in 1997 retailers would
still be satisfied if there were more 14.1% of non available products
when best suppliers took an order. This percent, however, has been decreasing
along time.
In this case significance was evident in the test for linearity. The gap for
the best practice has been reduced and service, that has always been better
than expected, seems to be adjusting better to expectations.
Product Availability When Order is Received
Gaps 2.a and 2.b refer to the variable PERTOT, the percent delivered of the total order. It relates to the same dimension as the previously discussed variable PERDEM, that is, supplier product availability. PERTOT measures what percent of the quantity confirmed by the manufacturer when order is taken are actually delivered to the retailer. Gaps 2.a and 2.b represent therefore the difference between the minimum percentage of confirmed orders that manufacturers are supposed to deliver so that retailers are satisfied and the percentage of the order actually delivered.
Figure 2 - Gap 2.a (expectation - perception of performance of the typical supplier
in the attribute PERTOT, measured as a percentage)
![]() ![]() ANOVA table for Gap 2.a on the attribute PERTOT - typical supplier |
This gap did not test significantly for linearity at a 5% level. The negative gap indicates that, in average, service is better than expected by retailers. Even though no significant linearity could be found, a certain trend for better adjustment of expectations and market practice can be observed from the graph, where the gap line is indeed approaching zero.
Figure 4 - Gap 2.b (expectation - perception of performance of the best supplier
in the attribute PERTOT)
![]() ![]() ANOVA table for Gap 2.b on the attribute PERTOT - best supplier |
In this case there was significant linearity, and a trend along the period for a decrease in the gap between expectations and best practice can be observed, indicating better adjustment of service levels to customer needs.
Order Cycle Time
Gaps 3.a and 3.b refer to the variable TIME, the number of days elapsed between the date the order is placed and that in which the products are received by retailers. This is a measure of the order cycle time and represents the sum total of time spent in the order processing, service and delivery activities that eventually get the ordered products to their destination at the retailer end. For gaps 3.a and 3.b a positive gap points to customer satisfaction, that is, the expected time is larger than the actual time.
Figure 5 - Gap 3.a (expectation - perception of performance of the typical supplier in the attribute TIME, measured in days)
![]() ![]() ANOVA table for Gap 3.a on the attribute TIME - typical supplier |
Observation of the graph indicates this gap (time in days between order and merchandise delivery) has been oscillating around the zero value, mainly from 1998 on, indicating a trend to adjustment of performance to expectation. Considering the whole period, however, there was no evidence of significant linearity.
Figure 6 - Gap 3.b (expectation - perception of performance of the best supplier
in the attribute TIME)
![]() ![]() ANOVA table for Gap 3.b on the attribute TIME - best supplier |
This gap tested significantly for linearity. In 1994 the best manufacturers used to deliver products to retailers in average 2.5 days earlier than expected, but now service seems to have adjusted to requirements, as the gap was in average one day. Still the best supplier was in average exceeding retailer service expectations. The trend was to a balance between expectations and actual performance, with gaps approaching zero days.
Consistency in Delivery Times
Gaps 4.a and 4.b relate to the variable LATDEL, the percent of late deliveries. In order to identify if promised delivery dates were being kept by manufacturers, retailers were asked about the percent of deliveries that arrived after the due dates. This is a measure of the consistency in the order cycle.
Gap 4.a represents the average of the differences between the percent of late deliveries considered as acceptable by retailers and the percent of deliveries practiced in the market. Gap 4.b indicates the average of differences between the levels of tolerance with delays in deliveries and the performance of best practice suppliers. For the attribute LATDEL, positive gaps indicate that in average customers are satisfied with the punctuality of deliveries by manufacturers.
Figure 7 - Gap 4.a (expectation - perception of performance of the typical supplier
in the attribute LATDEL, measured as a percentage)
![]() ![]() ANOVA table for Gap 4.a on the attribute LATDEL - typical supplier |
The negative gap in this case indicates that service is worse than retailer
expectations. This gap was negative throughout the survey rounds and linearity
could not be verified in the test. However, the graph shows that since
1999 the gap has been narrowing, pointing to a decrease in dissatisfaction
with this attribute.
Figure 8 - Gap 4.b (expectation - perception of performance of the best supplier
in the attribute LATDEL)
![]() ![]() ANOVA table for Gap 4.b on the attribute LATDEL - best supplier |
Contrary to Gap 4.a, GAP 4.b has always been positive along survey rounds, indicating
that manufacturers with best practices have had less late deliveries than
retailers are willing to tolerate. Linearity could be verified at the
5% level, indicating a trend to the adjustment of expectations and performance.
Delivery Frequency
More frequent deliveries to retailers imply smaller buying lot sizes and less inventory and related costs. The variable NUMDEL refers to the number of times per month a supplier is asked to deliver, both in terms of the usual market practice and the best supplier practice.
Gap 5.a represents the difference between the expectation of retailers on the number of monthly deliveries and the actual delivery frequency typically practiced in the market, whereas Gap 5.b measures the average of differences between expectations on this attribute and the best supplier practice. For this variable, negative gaps are usually an indication of customer satisfaction, that is, suppliers deliver more frequently than the minimum acceptable to retailers.
Figure 9 - Gap 5.a (expectation - perception of performance of the typical supplier
in the attribute NUMDEL, measured in number of monthly deliveries)
![]() ![]() ANOVA table for Gap 5.a on the attribute NUMDEL - typical supplier |
The negative gap indicates that expectations are below actual delivery frequency performance in the market. In 1995 performance was a bit worse than expected, but since 1997 the average performance slightly exceeds expectations and, in general, is not far from zero. The gap tested significantly for linearity and the indication in this case is of customer satisfaction.
Figure 10 - Gap 5.b (expectation - perception of performance of the best supplier
in the attribute NUMDEL)
![]() ![]() ANOVA table for Gap 5.b on the attribute NUMDEL - best supplier |
This gap has always been negative, that is, performance has always been better
than expectations in terms of delivery frequency. No evidence of linearity
was found, but from the graph it may be seen that there is a recent trend
for the adjustment of service to customer expectations. It may be observed
that for the first four attributes linearity was significant for the best
supplier gap but not for that of the typical supplier. On delivery frequency,
however, the reverse was observed.
Conclusions
Results from this study indicate that the gaps between expectations and performance of Brazilian grocery retailers with the customer logistics service manufacturers have been providing to them seem to be narrowing, that is, there seems to be a trend for customers to be more satisfied with the service they receive, especially, as could be expected, from their best suppliers. An interesting conclusion is that, in most cases, even for the typical or average supplier, service was in fact overspecified and performance was above customer expectations. Two implications are may be drawn from this overspecification. First, suppliers are possibly incurring in costs that are higher than they could have been if a better adjustment of customer demands and needs and service provided was reached. Second, former experiences with services, as seen, play a decisive role in building customer expectations on service. This means that if a service provider delivers service above expected levels, customer expectation for the next service situation will be adjusted to the former experience, creating an escalation in expected service levels along time. This may in fact be a trap to suppliers willing to exceed customer expectations in the distribution logistics of grocery products. If this is not achieved by any reason, the supplier's image may be harmed and customers once satisfied with a level of service below the one now provided may be dissatisfied and be lost.
The outstanding exception to the apparent trend to increasing retailer satisfaction with service provided by manufacturer is in the case of the percentage of late deliveries on the part of the typical supplier (though not of the best supplier). Even though there was indication of possible improvement by the end of the period, customers still seem to be far from satisfied with the percentage of late deliveries they are getting from their suppliers. Considering both the need to provide good service to consumers and the high cost of inventory holding in Brazil, this does not come as a surprise. It represents, therefore, a good opportunity for suppliers to differentiate themselves from competitors in terms of customer service by seeking to satisfy better their customers' expectations.
In all, this study seems to point to a positive response of manufacturers to the structural and competitive changes in the market by the adoption of improved logistics practices that are tending to meet their customers' needs.
A limitation to this study arises from the fact that the research deals only with the perceptions of retailers. In addition, it should be noted that some of the complexities of forging customer satisfaction and establishing adequate service levels might not be adequately captured by an expectation-actual performance gap analysis. As mentioned above, customer needs have been shown to influence expectations on performance of suppliers on a service attribute. If for example a manufacturer knows that a certain retailer is dependent on a high frequency of deliveries due to storage space constraints, the logistics system this supplier implements will seek to deliver frequently, even if this means partially fulfilling orders. Partial fulfillment of orders will in turn influence satisfaction on the product availability dimension and, if this is also relevant to the retailer, may create overall dissatisfaction despite efforts on the side of the manufacturer to satisfy the customer. Suppliers should be aware of these interrelationships and analyze with customers the trade-offs that arise in their specific logistics service relationship so as to establish service levels for the different dimensions that effectively meets customers needs and do not create unnecessary additional costs to suppliers.
Another limitation is that none of the variables included in this study considers the volume of purchases by retailers. This means that it is possible that retailers are satisfied with the service performance of manufacturers in most of the attributes because they may be purchasing more than is necessary due to overestimated demand and, therefore, may still be keeping more inventory than would be necessary. If, due to ineffective inventory control and demand forecasting retailers are not adjusting inventories to their real needs in terms of future sales, they may be overvaluing the performance of their suppliers because they have not suffered stockouts. It is important to remember that for decades and until eight years ago, during the long inflationary period in the Brazilian economy, inventory holding was seen by most retailers as the key to their success in business. Today, holding excess inventory probably means the opposite. The supply chain efficiency effects of improvement in distribution logistics of grocery products in Brazil may therefore depend not only on the service provided by suppliers but on improved supply and demand management practices on the side of retailers.
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